Date de l'évènement :
à 15:45, (Paris, Europe)
Lieu de l'évènement :
En ligne
Organisé par :
Professeur Roch GIORGI, Equipe QuanTIM - SESSTIM
Intervenant :
Mercedes PASCUAL
Louis Block Professor, Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago.
Description :
My talk presents recent results on the population dynamics of vector-borne infectious diseases and the role played by climate variability, climate change, and spatial heterogeneity. I rely on the study of malaria in cities of India and in highlands of Africa, to illustrate application of a statistical inference method and process-based mathematical models to interrogate time series data on underlying drivers of transmission. I then transition to the dynamics of dengue as it emerged in Brazil, to address limitations of “well-mixed” SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) models to predict re-emergence of outbreaks in heterogeneous urban landscapes.
